Prediction ledger · read-only record
MICROSOFT CORP: Annual revenue, FY2027
Awaiting period endCurrent forecastExperimental · not investment advice
This is the forecast exactly as FinSavoir recorded it when it was issued. Ledger records are append-only: the database refuses edits and deletions, so the prediction, inputs and model below cannot change. Only its status can move on — when the period ends, when results are filed, or when a newer forecast supersedes it.
Forecast
- Prediction ID
fbe7b49a-6d06-41e6-af51-161edb3ea2a3- Company
- MICROSOFT CORP (MSFT)
- Metric
- Annual revenue as first reported in the company's SEC filing
- Target period
- FY2027 · 1 year ahead · period ends Jun 30, 2027
- Predicted value
- $307.4B
- Prediction interval
- None issued: no interval was issued with this forecast (the evaluation did not support one).
- Issued
- 2026-10-11 03:05 UTC
- Information cutoff
- Only filings made on or before Jul 29, 2026 were used.
Model and data version
- Model
- Damped trend (exponential smoothing) (damped_trend_v1, v1). Holt's exponential smoothing on log revenue with a trend that fades out.
- Configuration
- phi = 0.8, beta = 0.1, alpha = 0.5
- Role today
- challenger, not shown as the reference
- Evaluation protocol
- revenue_walkforward_v2
- Model code
- SHA-256 f0d0f1fa57ec027b… at issue — unchanged since
- Input data
- Data version 1 · normalization v8 · training-data hash 8f01cd66f1b394d8…
Inputs (15 reported years)
| Period | Period end | Reported value | Source filing |
|---|---|---|---|
| FY2012 | Jun 30, 2012 | $73.7B | 10-K filed Jul 31, 2014 |
| FY2013 | Jun 30, 2013 | $77.8B | 10-K filed Jul 31, 2015 |
| FY2014 | Jun 30, 2014 | $86.8B | 10-K filed Jul 28, 2016 |
| FY2015 | Jun 30, 2015 | $93.6B | 10-K filed Aug 2, 2017 |
| FY2016 | Jun 30, 2016 | $91.2B | 10-K filed Aug 3, 2018 |
| FY2017 | Jun 30, 2017 | $96.6B | 10-K filed Aug 1, 2019 |
| FY2018 | Jun 30, 2018 | $110.4B | 10-K filed Jul 30, 2020 |
| FY2019 | Jun 30, 2019 | $125.8B | 10-K filed Jul 29, 2021 |
| FY2020 | Jun 30, 2020 | $143.0B | 10-K filed Jul 28, 2022 |
| FY2021 | Jun 30, 2021 | $168.1B | 10-K filed Jul 27, 2023 |
| FY2022 | Jun 30, 2022 | $198.3B | 10-K filed Jul 30, 2024 |
| FY2023 | Jun 30, 2023 | $211.9B | 10-K filed Jul 30, 2025 |
| FY2024 | Jun 30, 2024 | $245.1B | 10-K filed Jul 29, 2026 |
| FY2025 | Jun 30, 2025 | $281.7B | 10-K filed Jul 29, 2026 |
| FY2026 | Jun 30, 2026 | $331.8B | 10-K filed Jul 29, 2026 |
Outcome
Not available yet: The target period has not ended yet.
Supersession
This is the current forecast for this company, model and target period.
Integrity
- Record hash
cbe8c70190bc67ea8a90622bc7e763741b6bd3c9bbb73a2881f3e4022378be4c- Recomputation
- recomputed from the stored inputs and configuration with the registered model code → $307.4B.
- Storage
- Append-only table: updates and deletes are rejected by a database trigger.